I am writing an analysis for a client of the various aftermaths of the mid-term elections coming up on November 4th. I look at polls, trends, the quality of the candidates, voting trends, local issues, fund raising, and read the opinions and research of the professionals, talking heads, pundits and assorted gurus. My mission is to give a strategy of what may happen in Congress depending on the election results. It is not all this simple but if Republicans control Congress, things will be much different than if the government remains divided. It will either happen or it will not.
However, besides the election results, the 2016 Presidential campaign starts in earnest-albeit unofficially and artificially- the day after the election. I was thinking about various candidates and eventually came across an article on Hillary Clinton. In essence, the author (a Democrat) was questioning the viability of Mrs. Clinton even though she has many devoted followers and supporters.
I then came across an article on Mitt Romney and how hard he was supporting Republicans all over the country, felt vindicated when compared with the performance of the President. Then the bomb came—Mitt Romney will run again and be the nominee heading the Republican 2016 ticket. Tell me it is not so, not possible.
Mitt Romney is a very talented man, qualified to be President. Probably should have been elected President, particularly seeing the way the government operates or does not operate now. Much of what he said in the 2012 campaign has proven to be true, including the mal intentions of Russia.
The problem is Mitt Romney is the modern day Adlai Stevenson. Romney is a very capable man but not going to win. Stevenson was Governor of Illinois when he received the 1952 Democratic Party's nomination for President even though he had not campaigned in the primaries. Stevenson was defeated in a landslide by the Republican former war leader Dwight Eisenhower. Stevenson was again the Democratic presidential nominee against Eisenhower, and this is the important part he was defeated in an even bigger landslide in 1956. I fear Romney equal Stevenson. There is, of course, the example of Richard Nixon being defeated for President in 1960 and then two years later for Governor of California only to be elected President in 1968 but Romney is no Nixon, thank goodness and political dynamics have changed.
The political process will winnow lots of Republicans out. There are a number of highly qualified people who will contemplate running for President. I hope one is not Mr. Romney. Like the Democrats with Mrs. Clinton, the Republicans need to do something different and not choose Adlai Stevenson redox.